SECURITY

Machinery industry: 2010 will maintain a steady upward trend

In response to the financial crisis, revive the economy, China has promulgated the iron and steel, automobile, shipbuilding, petrochemical, textile, light industry, non-ferrous metals, equipment manufacturing, electronic information, logistics and other key industries to adjust the revitalization plan. With the various policy measures are in place, the effect of policies has been initially apparent. 2009 January-November the major production targets machinery industry continued to show steady upward trend, production, sales growth up month by month, the new product output growth accelerated, export delivery value year on year growth rate slowed down. Statistics show that ? whole machinery industry output value and added value growth rate of 12% or more ? profit growth of 10% or more.

From the Comparison of various sub-sectors, products, production, trade and cultural office to maintain the growth rate of production decline, agricultural machinery, engineering machinery and automotive industries are the fastest growth rate remained at 21% or more; new product value to our products, agricultural machinery, internal combustion engine, engineering, machinery, heavy-duty mining, electrical appliances and automobile industry output value of new products faster than the industry average; export delivery value of respect, an increase of the provinces are Heilongjiang, Jiangxi, 2009 from January to November fell more than 40% of the province of areas are: Inner Mongolia, Jilin, Anhui, Gansu, Qinghai and Xinjiang.

The development of machinery industry in 2009 mainly reflected the three major characteristics. First, stimulating domestic demand and high investment growth in 1-November, machinery and industrial investment in fixed assets since the beginning of 1.293082 trillion yuan, up 38.39%, machine-building industry were higher than the national growth rate of fixed asset investment in urban and manufacturing 6.29 and 11.59 percentage points, accounting for the manufacturing sector accounting for 24.76%, investment growth ? easily result in excessive expansion of production capacity exacerbated by an oversupply of contradictions. In the 13 aggregated industries, electrical and automotive industries of the respective investment of 309.715 billion yuan and 297.44 billion yuan, accounting for 23.95% and 23%, pulling machinery industry investment in fixed assets 8.47 and 10 .63 percentage points, from a growth perspective, agricultural machinery industry, the fastest for more than 50%, petrochemicals, electrical followed by 40% or more, machine tools, automobiles, heavy-duty, food, basic parts, the other six sectors are also more than 30% can be said that in the automotive, large hydraulic press, power transmission equipment, wind power equipment, construction machinery and other popular product areas that risks are accumulating; Second, foreign demand remained in the doldrums, 1-China’s exports fell sharply in September construction machinery exports fell 23.9% year on year more than the national average, the low level of exports by 2.6 percentage points; third is from January to September imports fell 13.7% more than the national average fell by 6.7 percentage points.

For 2010, the operation of machine-building industry trend, in the “restructuring as the main line and major technical equipment and high-end CNC machine tools as a landmark breakthrough to key infrastructure components and the basis of process innovation as the basis for independent innovation and industry cluster for the accelerator to enhance the core competitiveness as a fundamental “development ideas, the Government investment will drive the machinery industry growth, sales growth of up to about 15%. The main factors conducive to the development of the Central has made it clear to continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy and loose monetary policy appropriately, while the equipment manufacturing industry and the automobile industry has been identified as priority countries to restructure and revitalize the industry, the relevant supporting policies will be launched soon, mechanical industry will clearly benefit. Is not conducive to the development of the factors that mainly come from two aspects. First, the export market will remain fairly severe, and the expansion of national trade protectionism trend, so the state should rely mainly on their own efforts to cultivate new economic growth point. Second, it is very difficult domestic economic restructuring, the current economic growth was mainly underpinned by the government-led investment growth, driven, market needed new impetus to the further cultivation.

Analysis shows that the impact of government investment by the relatively large sub-sectors expected to be sustained. Such as engineering machinery industry. By the real estate investment, stimulating investment in manufacturing, concrete machinery, truck cranes, forklifts and other product demand market will show rapid growth. Overseas markets will be better than 2009, sensitivity to the larger export products, such as bulldozers, forklifts, cranes, cars and other products of export environment will be improved. The specific sub-sectors: the shift to China’s shipbuilding industry will continue, China’s shipbuilding orders due to a smooth, combined with the national policy of support for the entire shipbuilding industry in 2010, can still achieve steady growth; railway equipment manufacturing industry in the infrastructure investments in high growth, driven by the purchase of railway rolling stock in 2010 would still be a substantial increase in the scale may be more than 100 billion; urban rail transport will continue to heat up; the machine tool industry revenues will continue to maintain a small growth.
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